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Title: Koto Okubo (1897-2013)


Tim198 - January 12, 2013 11:01 AM (GMT)
Koto Okubo, the oldest woman in Japan and the world died today, January 12th, at age 115 years, 19 days. The obituary mentions that she'd been ill with pnemonia since the end of last year.

Presumably Misawo Okawa is now the oldest woman in the world but I can't find any articles confirming her survival as of yet.

http://sankei.jp.msn.com/life/news/130112/...16230002-n1.htm

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20130112/k...4766961000.html

Mithridate - January 12, 2013 11:10 AM (GMT)
Rest in peace.

Rigor - January 12, 2013 11:20 AM (GMT)
Rip.. I am afraid we'll never get to see a picture of her

January has been pretty tough so far with al those big names dying :-(

The three oldest women all passing away within such a short time frame. How disappointing...

Hopefully Kimura can recover/has recovered. Our only remaining 115 year old and 1897 survivor

4everyoung - January 12, 2013 11:26 AM (GMT)
RIP Mrs. Koto Okubo.

What a tragedy! I suspect that in 2013 1897 and 1898 is dying out.
And in the worst case we have at the end of 2014 nobody from 1899.
(Only validated cases.) I hope deeply Im not right.

GreekSupercentenarian - January 12, 2013 11:31 AM (GMT)
That's very sad news.
Rest In Peace Mrs Okubo.

DHanson317 - January 12, 2013 11:50 AM (GMT)
They probably reported Koto Okubo's death very quickly and they didn't want to prematurely determine who was their oldest living woman without verifying their existence. We'll probably get information on Japan's oldest living woman soon.

DHanson317 - January 12, 2013 11:55 AM (GMT)

Donovan - January 12, 2013 11:57 AM (GMT)
Rest in Peace Mrs Okubo.

Half an hour ago on Japan Economics News

http://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXNASDG1202U_S3A110C1CC1000/

大久保さんの死去で、国内最高齢の女性は大阪市東住吉区の大川ミサヲさん(114)になった。男女を通じて世界最高齢は京都府京丹後市の木村次郎右衛門さん(115)。

After Okubo's passing, the oldest living woman in the country is Higashisumiyoshi Area, Osaka's Misawo Okawa (114). Oldest living person in the world is Kyotango City, Kyoto prefecture's 115-year-old Jiroemon Kimura (115).

Guess this is a confirmation that Misawo Okawa is still alive.

LE FEVRE - January 12, 2013 12:35 PM (GMT)


January is always a bad month. Rest peace Mrs OKUBO :(

ben1987 - January 12, 2013 12:46 PM (GMT)
R.I.P Mrs. Okubo

Jiroemon Kimura is now the last surviving person born in 1897; It's not often this title goes to a man!

davzar - January 12, 2013 12:52 PM (GMT)
RIP Mrs. Okubo.... :(
I can't believe there are all these terrible news! Winter is awful!

Pieter - January 12, 2013 12:54 PM (GMT)
What a terrible piece of news.. :(

Atleast she become the oldest Japanese woman since my interest in sc's..barely surpass Hasegawa!~

I am sorry that you were ill since the end of last year Mrs.Okubo!

R.I.P to the oldest person in Kanagawa Prefecture ever! You will be remembered!

Pieter - January 12, 2013 12:58 PM (GMT)
Congrats to Jiroemon on become the last survivor of 1897..it is not everyday a man is the last survivor of a year!

Congrats to Misawo Okawa on become the oldest woman in Japan, I am glad to learn that you are still alive!

gijs412 - January 12, 2013 01:16 PM (GMT)
Very sad news, on only 1.5 months time we lost the 1896, and 2/3 of 1897. Rest In Peace

dakota86 - January 12, 2013 01:40 PM (GMT)
Rest in peace Mrs. Okubo! It's sad that probably we won't know anything else about her life or see a picture of her.

Ancient - January 12, 2013 02:04 PM (GMT)
R.I.P. Mrs. Koto Okubo.

rnicolasm93 - January 12, 2013 03:15 PM (GMT)
Our oldest person are gone really fast... I hope this stop!

Rest in Peace Mrs. Okubo :(

makila - January 12, 2013 03:21 PM (GMT)
You never know. In theory the current top-10 could die within a day time. I mean .. at that age, one cough too much from a familymember can already be fatal as a matter of speaking. I believe this is the main reason her 115th birthday party wasnt even mentioned in the media. Her health was very bad and her son protected her privacy.

Did anyone notice that Mr Kimura is now almost a year older than the second oldest person? This once again shows, that the number of supercentenarians may be increasing .. but at the top, despite medical improovements, only the very very strongest survive.

CalvinTy - January 12, 2013 03:26 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Tim198 @ Jan 12 2013, 06:01 AM)
Koto Okubo, the oldest woman in Japan and the world died today, January 12th, at age 115 years, 19 days. The obituary mentions that she'd been ill with pnemonia since the end of last year.

Presumably Misawo Okawa is now the oldest woman in the world but I can't find any articles confirming her survival as of yet.

http://sankei.jp.msn.com/life/news/130112/...16230002-n1.htm

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20130112/k...4766961000.html

Tim,

Please report this to Yahoo WOP because there is no message about this yet.

* CalvinTy

vic726 - January 12, 2013 03:44 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (gijs412 @ Jan 12 2013, 08:16 AM)
Very sad news, on only 1.5 months time we lost the 1896, and 2/3 of 1897. Rest In Peace

That is really a big collapse but we experienced similar thing 5 years ago.

RIP Madam Koto, I really want to know more about you, if I can, you might have been my favourite living SC :(

AMZ1981 - January 12, 2013 04:00 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (makila @ Jan 12 2013, 10:21 AM)
You never know. In theory the current top-10 could die within a day time. I mean .. at that age, one cough too much from a familymember can already be fatal as a matter of speaking. I believe this is the main reason her 115th birthday party wasnt even mentioned in the media. Her health was very bad and her son protected her privacy.

Did anyone notice that Mr Kimura is now almost a year older than the second oldest person? This once again shows, that the number of supercentenarians may be increasing .. but at the top, despite medical improovements, only the very very strongest survive.

For the record the last time there was over a years difference between the oldest person in the world and the second coldest was between January and September 2009 when Gertrude Baines was a year older than briefly Beatrice Farve, then Kama Chinen.

Scourge - January 12, 2013 04:08 PM (GMT)
Sad sad sad... 1800s are fading. Goodbye, Koto Okubo, wish good roads for you there over the rainbow.

Daniel - January 12, 2013 04:11 PM (GMT)
I had been worried about her for a while with the lack of info on her :(

At least she surpassed Chiyono Hasegawa to become the third oldest Japanese person ever, reached 115 and saw 2013.

It seems there is a bit of a death cluster around the 115th birthday for Japanese SC's.
Kama Chinen, Chiyono and now Koto have died around that time :( It shows just how amazing our WOP is!!

And we have confirmation Misawo is still alive!!

Now we only have Jiroemon left from 1897, and only 2 SC's left from 1898 :(

R.I.P Koto Okubo

a massive zebra - January 12, 2013 04:49 PM (GMT)
I find it difficult to really mourn the death of someone I know nothing about, but it is certainly sad to hear we have lost the worlds oldest woman for the 3rd time in about 6 weeks.

Rest in peace, Koto Okubo.

AMZ1981 - January 12, 2013 05:16 PM (GMT)
From having three 115+ year olds at the start of December we're now down to just three 114 year olds - and we have to be cautious in assuming Hatsue Ono is still alive.

It's worth noting that the recent bursting of the age bubble has brought a new `generation` of American supercentenarians in the top ten - they occupy positions 5-10.

ryoung122 - January 12, 2013 06:34 PM (GMT)
Greetings,

Koto Okubo was "confined to bed" and her son was concerned about media visits.

Since she was in a nursing facility, not a private home, I had confidence that she was still alive, despite no photos.

We had been told that there would be an attempt to get photos this month, but her health did not improve. She died of pneumonia. We were lucky that she made it to 115 and the new year.

My internal tracking (I estimate how long I expect the top ten to live) suggested that she would die Jan 11 2013. I was off by one day.


mj1989 - January 12, 2013 07:11 PM (GMT)
RIP Koto Okubo, too bad we'll never get a photo or know anything about her.

Fabio96 - January 12, 2013 08:51 PM (GMT)
Winter is always bad for supercentenarians...

Rest in peace, Koto Okubo :(

Futurist - January 12, 2013 09:15 PM (GMT)
RIP Mrs. Okubo. :(

This winter is unusually harsh for the top 10 oldest living people--Cooper, Manfredini, Rearden, and Okubo have all passed away within a time period of less than 1.5 months. :(

Cjeales - January 12, 2013 09:50 PM (GMT)
Another sad loss.... Feels like a real collapse at the top with Cooper, Manfredini, and now Okubo passing away, not to mention Mamie Rearden dying as well.... R.I.P

Rigor - January 12, 2013 10:05 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (ryoung122 @ Jan 12 2013, 01:34 PM)
Greetings,

Koto Okubo was "confined to bed" and her son was concerned about media visits.

Since she was in a nursing facility, not a private home, I had confidence that she was still alive, despite no photos.

We had been told that there would be an attempt to get photos this month, but her health did not improve. She died of pneumonia. We were lucky that she made it to 115 and the new year.

My internal tracking (I estimate how long I expect the top ten to live) suggested that she would die Jan 11 2013. I was off by one day.

You don't have to reveal your predicted death date for him (i know you have a conflict of interests), but I wonder if you made a prediction for Mr kimura and if yes, did you do so when he entered the top 10?

Futurist - January 12, 2013 10:26 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Cjeales @ Jan 12 2013, 04:50 PM)
Another sad loss.... Feels like a real collapse at the top with Cooper, Manfredini, and now Okubo passing away, not to mention Mamie Rearden dying as well.... R.I.P

At least Kimura and Okawa out of the top 5 are still with us. :)

ryoung122 - January 12, 2013 11:00 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (Rigor @ Jan 12 2013, 05:05 PM)
QUOTE (ryoung122 @ Jan 12 2013, 01:34 PM)
Greetings,

Koto Okubo was "confined to bed" and her son was concerned about media visits.

Since she was in a nursing facility, not a private home, I had confidence that she was still alive, despite no photos.

We had been told that there would be an attempt to get photos this month, but her health did not improve. She died of pneumonia. We were lucky that she made it to 115 and the new year.

My internal tracking (I estimate how long I expect the top ten to live) suggested that she would die Jan 11 2013. I was off by one day.

You don't have to reveal your predicted death date for him (i know you have a conflict of interests), but I wonder if you made a prediction for Mr kimura and if yes, did you do so when he entered the top 10?

I'm not talking about six-month predictions. I do a "tracking list" of who in the top ten is most likely to die next. I did think that Jiroemon Kimura would outlive Koto Okubo, that's all I can say. Part of this is to be ready for who "may" become the next WOP titleholder.

paniscus - January 12, 2013 11:32 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (AMZ1981 @ Jan 12 2013, 12:16 PM)
It's worth noting that the recent bursting of the age bubble has brought a new `generation` of American supercentenarians in the top ten - they occupy positions 5-10.

Please, could anybody explain more exactly what it'sm meant by the expression "age bubble"?

I suppose it means a period of deviation from a "linear" distribution of the age of SC, when we can found a remarkable group of people reaching higher ages than expected, all together.

But I'm not sure if there is an exact definition or not!


hohho56oy - January 12, 2013 11:45 PM (GMT)
OMG, This better not be a 6-year repeat! :blink: R.I.P. Rs. Okubo. :(

ryoung122 - January 12, 2013 11:52 PM (GMT)
QUOTE (paniscus @ Jan 12 2013, 06:32 PM)
QUOTE (AMZ1981 @ Jan 12 2013, 12:16 PM)
It's worth noting that the recent bursting of the age bubble has brought a new `generation` of American supercentenarians in the top ten - they occupy positions 5-10.

Please, could anybody explain more exactly what it'sm meant by the expression "age bubble"?

I suppose it means a period of deviation from a "linear" distribution of the age of SC, when we can found a remarkable group of people reaching higher ages than expected, all together.

But I'm not sure if there is an exact definition or not!

What's the definition of a "stock market bubble"?

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bubble.asp#axzz2Ho9PJRym

Definition of 'Bubble'
1. An economic cycle characterized by rapid expansion followed by a contraction.

2. A surge in equity prices, often more than warranted by the fundamentals and usually in a particular sector, followed by a drastic drop in prices as a massive selloff occurs.

3. A theory that security prices rise above their true value and will continue to do so until prices go into freefall and the bubble bursts.
Investopedia Says
Investopedia explains 'Bubble'
Bubbles form in economies, securities, stock markets and business sectors because of a change in the way players conduct business. This can be a real change, as occurred in the bubble economy of Japan in the 1980s when banks were partially deregulated, or a paradigm shift, as happened during the dotcom boom in the late '90s and early 2000s. During the boom people bought tech stocks at high prices, believing they could sell them at a higher price until confidence was lost and a large market correction, or crash, occurs. Bubbles in equities markets and economies cause resources to be transferred to areas of rapid growth. At the end of a bubble, resources are moved again, causing prices to deflate. Thus, there is little long-term return on those assets.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bubble.asp#ixzz2Ho9pPqgg


An "age bubble" is an analogy. Like all analogies, there are similarities but not everything fits exactly. With age data, no one is "driving" the data through emotional reaction; the age data is driven by random chance and irregular distribution. However, what is emotional is when people misinterpret what is happening into thinking that a new reality has emerged, when in fact it has not. For example, when Jeanne Calment came along, even though she was just ONE person, people got the idea that humans living to 122 would soon be the norm. But it wasn't.

When I came up with the "Age Bubble Hypothesis," I suggested that the data would rise above its level of sustainability when you have a few outliers or higher-than-average persons causing a temporary distortion in the data. The data would return to baseline after those outliers pass away or are removed from the data.

Note that in the mid-90s, Calment, Meilleur, and Knauss made it appear that humans living to 117+ would soon become normal...but it was an "age bubble," or unsustainable rise in the data that some conflated to being a new normal. When Knauss passed away in 1999, the age of the oldest living person fell more than five years. Since Eva Morris took the title, the data has stayed in the 114-116 range for more than 13 years. We have come to realize that a few outliers are extremely special but unusual persons, and not the normal.

Some have suggested tracking the age of the tenth-oldest person, instead of first. Now, the GRG is tracking the age of the 100th-oldest person. We see a slow and steady increase over time at position 100, caused by increases in life expectancy, population base size, and validation rate.

Futurist - January 13, 2013 12:07 AM (GMT)
To Lisa:

An age bubble is when there is a more people (or women, or men) of a certain age (or above) than what is normally expected.

Here are some historical examples of age bubbles:

http://z3.invisionfree.com/The_110_Club/in...?showtopic=5253

For instance, in 1997 we had 3 living 116+ years olds, whereas now we don't even have one living 116 year old (and what is happening now is what normally happens, since 116+ year olds are very infrequent).

vic726 - January 13, 2013 03:20 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (ryoung122 @ Jan 12 2013, 01:34 PM)
Greetings,

Koto Okubo was "confined to bed" and her son was concerned about media visits.

Since she was in a nursing facility, not a private home, I had confidence that she was still alive, despite no photos.

We had been told that there would be an attempt to get photos this month, but her health did not improve. She died of pneumonia. We were lucky that she made it to 115 and the new year.

My internal tracking (I estimate how long I expect the top ten to live) suggested that she would die Jan 11 2013. I was off by one day.

Robert, can we finally have a photo of her? If they don't want to release any photo at her final years, an earlier photo like Mae Harrington will still be very good.

ChrisR - January 13, 2013 03:23 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (Futurist @ Jan 12 2013, 07:07 PM)
To Lisa:

An age bubble is when there is a more people (or women, or men) of a certain age (or above) than what is normally expected.

Here are some historical examples of age bubbles:

http://z3.invisionfree.com/The_110_Club/in...?showtopic=5253

For instance, in 1997 we had 3 living 116+ years olds, whereas now we don't even have one living 116 year old (and what is happening now is what normally happens, since 116+ year olds are very infrequent).

RIP Mrs Okubo

I sincerely hope you receive enough appropriate publicity and the world receives a picture - to justify your achievements as

A 115 year old
the W.O Woman
2nd oldest known women and 3rd oldest known person in history of Asia

Does anyone know if it is possible to contact her son perhaps for a picture, in essence to honour her achievements and name. Now she's gone, perhaps her family may think differently.

I'd be happy to help with a draft letter - but unfortunately I know no Japanese

Futurist - January 13, 2013 03:53 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (vic726 @ Jan 12 2013, 10:20 PM)
QUOTE (ryoung122 @ Jan 12 2013, 01:34 PM)
Greetings,

Koto Okubo was "confined to bed" and her son was concerned about media visits.

Since she was in a nursing facility, not a private home, I had confidence that she was still alive, despite no photos.

We had been told that there would be an attempt to get photos this month, but her health did not improve. She died of pneumonia. We were lucky that she made it to 115 and the new year.

My internal tracking (I estimate how long I expect the top ten to live) suggested that she would die Jan 11 2013. I was off by one day.

Robert, can we finally have a photo of her? If they don't want to release any photo at her final years, an earlier photo like Mae Harrington will still be very good.

Where did you previously see a photo of Mae Harrington, Vic?




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